Nice vs FC Paris: prediction & betting odds 28 September 2025

Matchday 6 of Ligue 1 between Nice and Paris will take place on September 28 at the Allianz Riviera Stadium. Nice vs. Paris: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Nice

At the start of the current Ligue 1 season, the team alternates between wins and losses. Last weekend, Nice suffered a heavy defeat to Brest, resulting in Franck Haise's side losing 3 of their first 5 matches in the French championship. The club's uncompromising streak in this tournament has reached 10 matches (6 wins, 4 losses). Before Sunday's game, the team has collected only 6 points and is in 12th place in the table.

  • The club has scored at least one goal in 12 of the last 14 league games.
  • Nice has not lost in 17 of their last 20 Ligue 1 matches (13 wins, 4 draws).
  • The team has conceded in 13 of their last 16 matches in this tournament.

Predicted lineup for Nice (3-4-3)

Yehvann Diouf – Kojo Oppong, Juma Ba, Melvin Bard – Hicham Boudaoui, Charles Vanhoutte, Jonathan Clauss, Tiago Gouveia – Jeremie Boga, Sofiane Diop, Terem Moffi.

Paris

Like Nice, the league newcomer is handling the season with mixed results. After two defeats at the start of the season, the club regrouped and secured two consecutive victories, but their last league match ended in disappointment as Paris lost to Strasbourg, leaving them in 11th place in the table. Notably, Stéphane Gilli's side has yet to keep a clean sheet, having conceded a total of 12 goals – only Lorient and Metz have worse records with 13 goals each.

  • Both teams scored in 6 of Paris's last 8 matches in Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.
  • The club's uncompromising streak in these tournaments lasts for 6 matches (3 wins, 3 losses).
  • Paris has not lost in 9 of their last 12 matches in the top two French divisions (7 wins, 2 draws).

Predicted lineup for Paris (4-5-1)

Obed Nkambadio – Samir Chergui, Mustafa Mbou, Amari Traore, Noah Sanjui – Ilan Kebbal, Adama Camara, Maxime Lopez, Pierre Le-Melu, Moses Simon – Willem Geubbels.

Main defender Otavio has served his suspension.

Referee

Abdelatif Keradji (France)

Matches – 20 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 80;

Average yellow cards per match – 4;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 28;

Penalties – 45%.

Match Prediction: Nice vs. Paris

Paris is an entertaining team with a solid array of attacking players and significant defensive issues. Since entering Ligue 1, the club regularly puts on a show, with a total of 21 goals scored in their last 5 matches – the highest alongside Lille. Notably, at least 3 goals have been scored in 5 of Paris's last 7 games in Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A similar pattern was observed in 6 of their last 8 away games under Stéphane Gilli in these tournaments.

Nice is also capable of delivering an exciting match. In 5 of the team's matches this season, a total of 15 goals have been scored, averaging 3 goals per game. This level of scoring was achieved in 9 of their last 13 Ligue 1 matches.

In my opinion, the head-to-head meeting between Nice and Paris should also be high-scoring. Prediction: Total over 2.5 goals

* For each team, the starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is indicated.

Nice — FC Paris betting tips 28 September 2025

OGC Nice have been dropping too many points. Even Paris FC have moved above them. If this continues, they could well miss out on European football next season. The hosts have the chance to rein in Paris FC at the Allianz Riviera in this round.

The issue for OGC Nice is a lack of goals. Only once in the first five rounds did they score more than one. At times a single goal is enough for the opponent to win, as Toulouse proved. That happened at the Allianz Riviera. The trend continued in the UEFA Europa League against AS Roma in midweek (2:1). Perhaps one of the first-choice strikers is injured? There are players in the treatment room, but that applies to the defence: three defenders and holding midfielder Tanguy Ndombele. Not a single forward.

That gives Paris FC a chance to make their mark: despite sitting 11th, they have already scored nine goals, more than OGC Nice and, in fact, more than 12 clubs. Paris FC are creating at roughly that rate (9.25 xG). Even a 3:2 defeat in the capital against Strasbourg Alsace did not dislodge them from 11th. This match marked the newcomer's fourth straight game with the over.

OGC Nice have seen over 2.5 goals in three of five league rounds, plus against AS Roma in the Europa League, so there is a case for that angle. Given all the hosts’ issues with results, it is risky to take even the Double Chance on Paris FC, so we will pass on that.

Betting prediction
Total Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
3/5
Bet now

Nice vs FC Paris Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
Bookie1X2

Current season

Logo Nice Logo Paris FC
2 Wins 2
3 Lost 3
1.2 GF per game 1.8
1.8 GA per game 2.4
6.6 Corners per game 5.6
2.6 Yellow cards per game 1

Ligue 1: previous matches in the tournament

Nice
20.09.25
Brest
Nice
L
13.09.25
Nice
Nantes
W
31.08.25
Le Havre
Nice
L
23.08.25
Nice
Auxerre
W
16.08.25
Nice
Toulouse
L
More matches
FC Paris
21.09.25
FC Paris
Strasbourg
L
14.09.25
Brest
FC Paris
W
31.08.25
FC Paris
Metz
W
23.08.25
Marseille
FC Paris
L
17.08.25
Angers
FC Paris
L
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
PSG
6 5 0 1 12:4 15
2
Marseille
6 4 0 2 12:5 12
3
Monaco
6 4 0 2 14:10 12
4
Lyon
5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5
Strasbourg
6 4 0 2 9:7 12
6
Lille
5 3 1 1 13:8 10
7
Lens
5 3 0 2 8:5 9
8
Rennes
5 2 2 1 7:8 8
9
Toulouse
6 2 1 3 9:11 7
10
Lorient
6 2 1 3 9:14 7
11
FC Paris
5 2 0 3 9:12 6
12
Nice
5 2 0 3 6:9 6
13
Auxerre
6 2 0 4 4:8 6
14
Angers
5 1 2 2 3:4 5
15
Nantes
6 1 2 3 5:7 5
16
Brest
5 1 1 3 9:11 4
17
Le Havre
5 1 1 3 6:8 4
18
Metz
5 0 1 4 5:13 1
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
PSG
3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2
Marseille
3 3 0 0 10:2 9
3
Monaco
3 3 0 0 11:5 9
4
Lyon
3 3 0 0 5:0 9
5
Strasbourg
3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6
Lille
2 2 0 0 3:1 6
7
Lens
3 2 0 1 6:2 6
8
Rennes
2 2 0 0 4:1 6
9
Lorient
3 2 0 1 8:8 6
10
Nice
3 2 0 1 4:2 6
11
Auxerre
3 2 0 1 3:2 6
12
Toulouse
3 1 1 1 7:8 4
13
Angers
2 1 1 0 2:1 4
14
Nantes
3 1 1 1 3:3 4
15
Brest
3 1 1 1 8:6 4
16
Le Havre
3 1 1 1 5:4 4
17
FC Paris
2 1 0 1 5:5 3
18
Metz
2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
PSG
3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2
Strasbourg
3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3
Lille
3 1 1 1 10:7 4
4
Marseille
3 1 0 2 2:3 3
5
Monaco
3 1 0 2 3:5 3
6
Lyon
2 1 0 1 2:3 3
7
Lens
2 1 0 1 2:3 3
8
Toulouse
3 1 0 2 2:3 3
9
FC Paris
3 1 0 2 4:7 3
10
Rennes
3 0 2 1 3:7 2
11
Lorient
3 0 1 2 1:6 1
12
Angers
3 0 1 2 1:3 1
13
Nantes
3 0 1 2 2:4 1
14
Nice
2 0 0 2 2:7 0
15
Auxerre
3 0 0 3 1:6 0
16
Brest
2 0 0 2 1:5 0
17
Le Havre
2 0 0 2 1:4 0
18
Metz
3 0 0 3 4:11 0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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